GOLD XU HƯỚNG TĂNG MẠNH

3 năm trước 233

GOLD XU HƯỚNG TĂNG MẠNH

Gold OANDA:XAUUSD

Các sự kiện tin tức chính cần chú ý trong ngày hôm nay:
CPI Hoa Kỳ 12:30 chiều

Những điều quan trọng đã xảy ra gần đây:

Vàng và bạc vẫn đang vật lộn để phục hồi sau vụ tai nạn chớp nhoáng vào đầu ngày thứ Hai.

Những gì chúng ta có thể mong đợi ngày hôm nay:

Một vài ngày trước, truyền thông của Fed chắc chắn đã đi một hướng diều hâu với cuộc phỏng vấn của Phó Chủ tịch Clarida, đưa việc tăng lãi suất năm 2022 trở thành trọng tâm mới.

Với mức tăng giá dưới 20 tỷ đồng của Fed vào năm tới, có khả năng đáng kể để thắt chặt hơn nếu dữ liệu đảm bảo. Nếu vậy, vàng có thể sẽ gặp nhiều khó khăn hơn khi có thêm sự hỗ trợ của đồng đô la Mỹ.

Chỉ số CPI của Hoa Kỳ vào thứ Tư sẽ là một công bố dữ liệu quan trọng. Kỳ vọng là con số này sẽ giảm nhẹ trở lại 5,3%. Bất kỳ bất ngờ tăng giá nào cũng có thể mang lại cho các nhà đầu tư sự tự tin mà họ cần để bán trái phiếu, mua thêm đô la (hoặc ít nhất là giữ vị thế) và bán vàng.

Dự báo: Giảm giá yếu

Dầu

Các sự kiện tin tức chính cần chú ý trong ngày hôm nay: Dự trữ
dầu thô của Hoa Kỳ lúc 2:30 chiều

Những điều quan trọng đã xảy ra gần đây:

Theo Bloomberg, Sinopec , công ty lọc dầu lớn nhất Trung Quốc, đang thu hẹp hoạt động trở lại khi Bắc Kinh phản ứng tích cực với biến thể Delta làm giảm nhu cầu về nhiên liệu đường bộ và hàng không. Nó đang cắt giảm tỷ lệ chạy từ 5% đến 10% so với mức tháng Bảy. JLC, một nhà tư vấn địa phương, cho biết nhu cầu nhiên liệu ước tính đã giảm 30% trong khoảng thời gian từ ngày 20 tháng 7 đến ngày 6 tháng 8 so với đầu tháng 7. JLC cho biết thêm rằng có khả năng sẽ có tác động đáng kể đến lượng tiêu thụ trong suốt thời gian còn lại của tháng này.

Những gì chúng ta có thể mong đợi ngày hôm nay:

After a significant slide to start the week, oil prices rose more than 2% on Tuesday, rebounding from recent losses on signs of rising fuel demand in the United States despite a surge in COVID-19 cases. Since it is challenging to anticipate policymakers’ reaction functions to the spread of the Delta variant, predicting short-term moves in the oil markets has become a bit of a mug’s game.

To be sure, China has been very successful thus far in achieving an immediate zero-Covid environment. But policymakers may not replicate the earlier total lockdown because of difficulty in containing the more contagious Delta variant and potentially more risk-tolerance given higher vaccine coverage levels.

China may not stick with a zero-tolerance Covid approach which would be less harmful to global growth and oil demand.

On the broader landscape, Commodities may be deriving support from The US Senate completing its work by passing a $3.5 trillion budget resolution that will serve as a prerequisite for a broad spending and tax bill this fall.

Forecast: Weak Bearish

The Euro (EUR)

Key news events to watch out for today:
US CPI 12:30 PM

Important things that happened recently:

Germany’s Zew Index slumped, with the sentiment index coming in at 40 .4 points for August versus 63.3 in July and well short of the 56.7 expected in a Reuters poll.

What we can expect today:

A drop in economic sentiment in Europe, with German ZEW falling for the third consecutive month, continued to weigh the EUR.

It still feels like a test of 1.1700 is on the cards.

A very dovish ECB on the back of the Fed hawkish turn may keep the EURUSD vulnerable.

Forecast: Weak Bearish

The Pound (GBP)

Key news events to watch out for today:
US CPI 12:30 PM

Important things that happened recently:
The US dollar remains in the driver’s seat in GBPUSD .

What we can expect today:

Further taper talk from Fed speakers has added wind to the dollar sails following the stronger US jobs data.

However, the real action on the pound is occurring on EURGBP as the Sterling rose to a new 18 months high overnight as FX traders continue to shift to and fro to the beat of Central Bank differentials. At this stage of the global recovery cycle, the Bank of England is perceived as more hawkish than the very dovish ECB, making short EURGBP the best game in town to hold a bullish GBP view.

Forecast: Weak Bearish

The Swiss Franc (CHF)

Key news events to watch out for today:
US CPI 12:30 PM

Important things that happened recently:

The move higher in USDCHF from last week extended on Tuesday with the shift back towards upside momentum in the dollar following Friday’s US jobs data.

What we can expect today:

For G-10 FX markets, it seems like Delta variant risk is getting put on the back burner as traders correctly turn focus to rising US yields.

EURCHF is back above 1.0800, helped by the tone in USDCHF . The next levels to watch after are the previous tops from July, coming in at 0.9230( sitting just below this morning) and 0.9375. It will be important for EURCHF to establish itself above 1.08 to grind towards the upper end of the recent trading range at 1.0870.

Forecast: Weak Bearish

The Australian Dollar (AUD)

Key news events to watch out for today:
AUD Westpac Consumer Sentiment 12:30 AM

Important things that happened recently:

AUD is once again bouncing off the lows, while the AUDCHF cross is breaking to the topside

What we can expect today:

Virus risks remain at the forefront in Asia, and concerns around downgrades to Chinese growth forecasts may continue to weigh on the AUD.

What would be a surprise today is if the Westpac Consumer Sentiment reading beat expectations

Forecast: Weak Bearish

The Kiwi Dollar (NZD)

Key news events to watch out for today:
AUD Westpac Consumer Sentiment 12:30 AM

Important things that happened recently:
On Tuesday, the New Zealand Dollar gained slightly in line with the broader commodity bounce.

What we can expect today:

Given the start of the tightening cycle in New Zealand, there should still be some FX out-performance once Asia’s risk starts to stabilize. So we may continue to see dip-buying ahead of the RBNZ interest rate announcement mid-month.

Forecast: Weak Bullish

The Canadian Dollar (CAD)

Key news events to watch out for today:
US CPI 12:30 PM

Important things that happened recently:

The Canadian dollar nudged higher against the US dollar on Tuesday as a rebound in oil prices offset broader gains for the greenback.

What we can expect today:

We should expect the Canadian dollar to oscillate to a degree on oil prices today, but with Fed taper talk filling the airwaves, the focus will be on US CPI later in the New York session. And this suggests the CAD may try to consolidate on overnight gains, but 1.2530-35 USDCAD is a keen level to watch.

Forecast: Weak Bearish

The Japanese Yen (JPY)

Key news events to watch out for today:
US CPI 12:30 PM

Important things that happened recently:
After holding support near 110.00 on Monday, USDJPY continues to grind higher along with the broader USD

What we can expect today:

Những con bò đực USDJPY sẽ cần một sự cố trong EURUSD để đẩy DXY lên thông qua ngưỡng kháng cự quan trọng và đây có thể sẽ là chất xúc tác cho kỳ hạn tiếp theo của USDJPY . 110,70 / 80 là mức kháng cự trước khi báo cáo CPI tháng 7 của Hoa Kỳ vào ngày mai. Cuối năm nay về cơ bản là một thời điểm nhất định, với thị trường tập trung vào dòng thời gian

Đó là tất cả về chỉ số CPI của Hoa Kỳ bây giờ.

Dự báo: Giảm giá yếu

Bài đăng gần đây

Dự báo cơ bản của Thứ Tư - ngày 11 tháng 8
Ngày 11 tháng 8 năm 2021

Triển vọng kỹ thuật trước phiên hôm thứ Tư - ngày 11 tháng 8
Ngày 11 tháng 8 năm 2021

Dự báo cơ bản của Thứ Ba - ngày 10 tháng 8
Ngày 10 tháng 8 năm 2021

Triển vọng kỹ thuật trước phiên hôm thứ Ba - ngày 10 tháng 8
Ngày 10 tháng 8 năm 2021

Dự báo cơ bản của Thứ Hai - ngày 9 tháng 8
Ngày 8 tháng 8 năm 2021

Triển vọng kỹ thuật trước phiên hôm thứ Hai - ngày 9 tháng 8
CANH BUY : 1738
SL 1729
TP 1763
CANH SELL NHẸ : 1752
SL : 1756 :
TP 1738
CHÚC CẢ NHÀ GIAO DỊCH THÀNH CÔNG

Nguồn bài viết

GOLD XU HƯỚNG TĂNG MẠNH

GOLD XU HƯỚNG TĂNG MẠNH

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